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MARKET DIRECTION CALLS
August 2 2011 - Selling Intensifies
August 1 2011 - Bear Returns
July 28 2011 - Before The Open
July 27 2011 - Down But Are We Out?
July 20 2011 - Stock Market Volatility
July 18 2011 - Investors' Nervousness
July 15 2011 - Earnings VS Bleak Data
July 14 2011 - Below 1310
July 13 2011 - Ugly Looking Chart
July 12 2011 - Razor's Edge
July 8 2011 - Nasdaq Leads The Way
July 5 2011 - Expected Weakness
July 1 2011 - Overbought
Jun 28 2011 - July Rally?
Jun 27 2011 - Mixed Signals 
Jun 21 2011 - Bottom Or Bounce?
Jun 16 2011 - Raising Cash
Jun 15 2011 - More Downside To Come?
Jun 14 2011 - Bounce or Bottom?
Jun 12 2011 - Batten Down The Hatches
Jun 6 2011 - Bounce Sometime Soon?
Jun 2 2011 - Sell Signals and Warnings Everywhere
Jun 1 2011 - How Bad Could The Selling Get
Jun 1 2011 - Tread Carefully - Markets Remains Overvalued
May 31 2011 - Success - 100 Day Moving Average Tested
May 17 2011 - Be Careful Out There
Apri 18 2011 - Two Bears Compared
Apr 13 2011 - Why I Bought Puts Today
Apr 4 2011 - Breaking The February Highs
Mar 16 2011 - The Art Of Being Wrong
Mar 15 2011 - Market Remains Resilient
Mar 11 2011 - Trend Is Down
Feb 25 2011 - Trend Turning Bearish
Feb 11 2011 - Still Up - But Watch For June
Jan 3 2011 - Trend Remains Positive

 

Market Direction Call S&P 500


July 12 2011 - Razor's Edge

 

Any bounce at this point has to be sold into

While it would be nice to see a bounce, there is no way the selling if over. The question is whether or not the S&P 500 can hold at 1310. If it breaks and closes below, then the next level of support is 1300 and after that I believe the market could retest the 200 day moving average.

 

Let's look at the 3 all important indices for this week.
Below is the XLF sitting just below the all important $15.00 support level. I discussed this level back on July 8 .

XLF July 12 -2011

The SPX is sitting at 1313.64. 1310 marks support. 1300 marks the last line of support. From there I think it will be an easy drop to the 200 day. If the market gets there, then it will be time to reassess.

SPX July 12 2011

I had indicated that this week, it would be important to watch the NASDAQ. Today the NASDAQ fell further than the S&P 500 and the DOW. This cannot be a good sign.

.NASDAQ July 12 2011

All the indices are on the razor's edge. It will be a simple matter, to fall off. If that happens, then the previous fast, big rally will have been a great disappointment. That will take the market some time to recover from and could mean the July rally was one of the shortest on record.

 
 

 
 

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