FullyInformed.com

Stock Market Outlook for Tue Jan 23 2024 – Overbought – Dips Likely But Higher Close

Jan 23, 2024 | Stock Market Outlook

Stock Market Outlook overbought but higherPrior Trading Day Summary:

On Monday investors kept the rally from Friday alive by pushing stocks still higher.

Volumes slipped slightly from Friday’s numbers but still showed investor conviction in the present rally.

The SPX rose 10 points to close at 4850.

The NASDAQ rose 49 points to close at 15360, another 52 week closing high. .

Let’s review Mon Jan 22 2024 closing technical indicators to see what to expect for Tue Jan 23 2024.


Stock Market Outlook: SPX Closing Chart For Mon Jan 22 2024

The index closed above the Upper Bollinger Band at a new all-time high which is bullish.

The 21 day moving average is moving higher which is bullish.

The closing candlestick is bullish for Tuesday but signals there will be some selling and a probable dip.

The 50 day moving average is above the 100 day and still climbing which is bullish.

The 100 and 200 day moving averages are climbing which is bullish. The 200 day is moving above the 4400 on the SPX which is bullish.

The Bollinger Bands Squeeze is still underway with the Lower Bollinger Band turning lower. The Upper Bollinger Band is moving higher which is bullish. The signal now looks like stocks will move higher out of the Bollinger Bands Squeeze.

The S&P chart is bullish for Tuesday but warns there will be dips.

Stock Market Outlook review of Mon Jan 22 2024


Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review

Momentum: Momentum is unchanged and positive.

  • Settings: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction.
MACD Histogram: MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued a down signal on Tue Jan 2. The down signal was ready to turn to an  up signal.

  • Settings: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9. 
Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator is unchanged and positive. It is entering overbought.

  • Settings: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months.
Slow Stochastic: The Slow Stochastic has an up signal in place and is moving back to overbought.

  • Settings: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day.
Relative Strength Index: The RSI signal is unchanged and overbought.

  • Settings: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor.  It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.
Rate of Change: The rate of change signal is falling and positive. It is signaling a lower day could be in-store for Tuesday.

  • Settings: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises, the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline.

Stock Market Outlook: Support and Resistance Levels

4875 is resistance
4850 is resistance
4825 is resistance
4815 is resistance
4800 is resistance
4780 is resistance
4750 is support
4720 is support
4700 is support
4675 is support
4650 is support
4625 is support
4600 is support
4590 is support
4575 is light support
4565 is light support
4550 is support
4535 is support
4520 is support
4500 is support


Stock Market Outlook for Tue Jan 23 2024 

For Tuesday the technical indicators are advising that dips are likely. A negative close is not expected but is possible. The technical signals however are pointing to a higher close as probable.

There are no economic events on Tuesday which should support the bulls. Wednesday though, investors get the latest services and manufacturing PMI numbers. These could result in some selling if the numbers are poorer than expected.


Potential Economic and Political Market Moving Events

The main economic reports this week are PMI on Wednesday, durable goods on Thursday and PCE on Friday.

Monday:

10:00 Leading economic indicators were expected to rise slightly to -0.3% but rose to -0.1% showing some strength.

Tuesday:

No economic events






Search

Select to view all results...

Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors

Recent Outlooks

Stock Market Outlook for Fri Nov 15 2024 – Choppy With Bias Lower

Prior Trading Day Summary: For Thursday I had expected the index to dip a bit deeper than previous but to recover and close flat to higher. Instead the index slipped lower especially with comments from Fed Chair Powell that were …

Stock Market Outlook for Thu Nov 14 2024 – Choppy – Dips Possible But Higher Close

Prior Trading Day Summary: On Wednesday stocks tried to climb but found ready sellers who took advantage of each jump higher in individual stocks. By the end of the day the SPX was up a point to close at 5985, …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Thu Nov 14 2024

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Thu Nov 14 2024 review the outlook for stocks as weakness continues to dominate trading. There are a number of stocks discussed including Cisco Stock (CSCO), Walt Disney Stock (DIS), American …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed Nov 13 2024

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed Nov 13 2024 review the outlook for stocks following a lower close on Tuesday. There are a number of stocks discussed including Spotify Stock (SPOT), Cisco Stock (CSCO), Walt Disney …

Stock Market Outlook for Wed Nov 13 2024 – Choppy Trading Bias Lower

Prior Trading Day Summary: On Tuesday the week long rally finally ran into too many sellers and stocks slipped lower. The SPX fell 17 points and closed at 5984. Volume was 4.4 billion shares with 75% of all volume being …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue Nov 12 2024

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue Nov 12 2024 review the outlook for the rally as signs of it slowing are being reflected by the technical indicators. There are a number of stocks discussed including AbbVie …

Stock Market Outlook for Tue Nov 12 2024 – Overbought – Dips Likely But Bullish

Prior Trading Day Summary: On Monday investors continued the rally but while the closes were slightly higher, selling is taking place more often as some investors are scaling back on the size of their holdings. This is typical in a …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Mon Nov 11 2024

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Mon Nov 11 2024 review the outlook for the start of the second week of November. There are a number of stocks discussed including Expedia Stock (EXPE), Shopify Stock (SHOP) and …

Stock Market Outlook for Mon Nov 11 2024 – Overbought – Higher Still

Prior Trading Day Summary: On Friday investors continued the rally and pushed above 6000 before closing just below it at 6995 for a 22 point gain. For the week the SPX was up an impressive 266 points. Volume was still …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Fri Nov 8 2024

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Fri Nov 8 2024 review the outlook for the final trading day of what has been an incredible week for stocks.. There are a number of stocks discussed including AIRBNB Stock …

Stock Market Outlook for Fri Nov 8 2024 – Overbought – Dips Likely But Higher Close

Prior Trading Day Summary: On Thu Nov 7 2024 investors continued to pour capital into stocks as the Fed cut interest rates a quarter point as expected. The S&P rose 44 points with 5 billion shares traded. The index closed …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Thu Nov 7 2024

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Thu Nov 7 2024 review the outlook after Wednesday’s massive post election rally. There are a large number of stocks discussed including ARM Stock (ARM), Qualcomm Stock (QCOM), XOP ETF, SPY …

Stock Market Outlook for Thu Nov 7 2024 – All About The Fed – Higher

Prior Trading Day Summary: On Wed Nov 6 2024 investors poured money into stocks that had been sitting on the sidelines waiting for a resolution to the Presidential election. The election was clear without any question on the outcome and …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed Nov 6 2024

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed Nov 6 2024 review the outlook after Tuesday’s election results. There are a number of stocks discussed including Supermicro Stock (SMCI), Qualcomm Stock (QCOM), ARM Stock (ARM), LYFT Stock (LYFT) …

Subscribe For The Latest News