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Stock Market Outlook for Mon Feb 10 2025 – Weakness But Higher Close Expected

Feb 10, 2025 | Stock Market Outlook

Stock Market Outlook weakness but higher closePrior Trading Day Summary:

On Friday stocks fell after the January non-farm payroll report showed a decline in employment to 143,000 versus 169,000 expected. The unemployment rate however fell to 4.0%.

The SPX ended the day down 57 points and for the week it lost just 14 points to close at 6025.

The NASDAQ fell 268 points and for the week 104 points were lost. The index closed at 19523.

Let’s review the technical indicators at the close on Fri Feb 7 2025to see what to expect for Mon Feb 10 2025.


Stock Market Outlook: SPX Closing Chart For Fri Feb 7 2025

The index closed above the 50 and 21 day moving averages but lower than Thursday’s close. This is bearish.

The closing candlestick is bearish for Monday but has a short shadow which signals that dips may be slight on Monday.

The 21 day moving average is rising and closed at 6004, above the 50 day which is bullish.

The 50 day moving average is rising and closed at 6001 which is bullish.

The 100 day moving average is rising and closed at 5881 which is bullish.

The 200 day moving average is rising and closed at 5655 which is bullish.

The Lower Bollinger Band is rising which is bullish. The Upper Bollinger Band is rising which is bullish.

For Monday the SPX chart is more bullish than bearish. The day should close higher.

SPX Stock Market Outlook review of Fri Feb 7 2025


Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review

Momentum: Momentum is falling and negative.

  • Settings: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction.
MACD Histogram: MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued an up signal on Fri Jan 17 2025. The up signal was almost gone on Fri Feb 7. I am expecting an unconfirmed down signal by the close today.

  • Settings: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9. 
Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator is falling.

  • Settings: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months.
Slow Stochastic: The Slow Stochastic is neutral with almost a down signal in place.

  • Settings: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day.
Relative Strength Index: The RSI signal is falling.

  • Settings: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor.  It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.
Rate of Change: The rate of change signal is rising and signaling Monday will end higher.

  • Settings: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises, the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline.

Stock Market Outlook: Support and Resistance Levels

6125 is resistance
6100 is strong resistance
6090 is resistance
6070 is resistance
6050 is resistance
6025 is resistance
6015 is resistance
6000 is resistance
5990 is resistance
5970 is support
5950 is support
5900 is support
5890 is support
5875 is support
5850 is support
5830 is support
5800 is support


Stock Market Outlook for Mon Feb 10 2025 

For Monday, dips are likely however Friday’s closing candlestick advises that dips should not be deep and should find ready buyers.

With no economic or political events expected on Monday, the outlook is for a choppy day but with a higher close.


Potential Economic and Political Market Moving Events

Monday:

No events

 


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