Forum Replies Created

Viewing 25 posts - 2,401 through 2,425 (of 2,999 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • in reply to: BMY Repair #33768
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Can’t ever complain about a profit! Congratulations. I should have the write-up posted this weekend
    Teddi

    in reply to: XOM 70 Leaps 15 months out? #33748
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    I like to add a few leaps at prices I would own them at each fall. I rarely hold them to expiry so if by spring the trade has gained 60% of the value I buy them and close them off. It’s a nice weay to use margin and if the stock really pulled back I often will wait and then roll them deeper still for more capital. These are very small trades but some of them end up being diamonds! I love my Coca Cola trades for this and sell leaps every year on Coca Cola Stock.

    in reply to: New Trade Merck Stock for Oct 10 2016 #33747
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    You are very welcome.
    Teddi

    in reply to: New Trade Merck Stock for Oct 10 2016 #33688
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    The other question to ask yourself is why pick Merck over BMY? You have to consider whether you think Merck will recover your losses. Instead why not consider a different stock entirely? Often a stock that is trading for less can work out better. Intel for example is $37.00. A cheaper stock with a good track record which could possibly recover your position without being in Biotech for now. What about AT&T which again is under $40.? Ask yourself why you are moving and what is the reason to jump over to Merck? This is in my article I will be posting shortly. Sorry I have not finished it with so much happening in the markets it is chewing up a lot of time.
    Teddi

    in reply to: New Trade Merck Stock for Oct 10 2016 #33687
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    A lot will depend on whether Ms Clinton wins. The Biotechs are being hammered by fears of her stance on pricing models being used. A lot of politicians do not understand the billions spent on research. Somehow that has to be recouped. Drug companies should increase product prices gradually every year and not suddenly jump prices by ridiculous margins.

    On Merck I am in until November but if it falls to $60 I will roll-down just as I am doing in BMY. I am always happy to accept shares but if I can roll-down profitably that is always the first choice. Amy you have a lot of positions in BMY. You may want to hold back if you are not comfortable with another stock that may move back down. I think $60 looks good but if it breaks $60, then it will reach $57.50 in short order. There is a lot of support at that level.

    in reply to: GLD – Oct 14 expiry #33686
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    I am working on a larger article on GLD for another investor who wrote me. Meanwhile yes the correct response is to roll-down as each strike is reached. I don’t wait with commodities. I roll whether I believe it could bounce back or not. If it bounces back and I have rolled lower it just means I will have a better chance of the trade ending profitably since I rolled down and then GLD, for example, moved up.

    I have articles on BMY that I have to post first. Then GLD. Thanks for your patience.
    Teddi

    in reply to: GLD – Oct 14 expiry #33685
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Hi Amy
    Not sure on your wondering on Wells Fargo. These are naked calls that I will turn into covered calls should the stock recover to the levels I have sold.
    Is there something else you were wondering?
    Teddi

    in reply to: BMY Repair #33628
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    I am working on a couple of other repair ideas as well but I won’t have them finished this evening. I will try to get them posted for Tuesday. My apologies.
    Teddi

    in reply to: BMY Repair #33618
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Hi David. In the article from Aug 8 I indicated “The goal of all trades at this point are to reduce the number of puts at the $70 put strike. These puts will be reduced over the next several weeks and I still expect to see the stock rebound to $64 to $65 before drifting back to the $60 valuation. A break below the $50 support level is not expected.”
    So the goal of the trades since the collapse has been to keep reducing the number of puts that were in the money at the $70 put strike. On August 8 I still was holding almost all of the $70 put strikes having reduced by just a few the puts at $70 by adding in puts at $67.50.
    If you read all the articles so far on the repair of my trades you can see that I keep bringing in income which is being used to close the deepest in the money naked puts and reduce the number that were deepest in the money. This link will show all the articles to date in reverse chronological order https://www.fullyinformed.com/members/?x=0&y=0&s=Bristol-Myers+Squibb+Stock+

    in reply to: BMY Repair #33617
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Comfort is extremely important. If you are nervous then you can always move all or part of a position. The hardest part in any trade is when a stock collapses. If losses are easy to recover elsewhere then moving is probably the better choice. I trade in stocks I would own and have been in big cap stocks that have at times seen huge losses like all stocks can at some point in their history. For that reason I don’t have any problem continuing to trade the stock. Nervous investors tend to make mistakes when investing. For that reason staying within your comfort zone is always key to successfully trading a stock. Look at BMY and then look at another stock, you do like. If that stock was falling just like BMY would you be nervous? If so then your strategy has to change to one where you close trades at the first sign of trouble and never try to second guess the decision to close.

    in reply to: BMY Repair #33613
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    I have used this strategy many times. The cost for protection is small as the time frame is short for the long put but it provides protection for the short put strike that is far out especially during periods of uncertainty.

    I have done this type of trade often with leap puts.

    in reply to: BMY Repair #33599
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Sometimes you have to decide whether a repair is worth your added capital. When an investor feels overwhelmed in a downturn I often advise closing some positions, even if they incur a loss and then focus on a stock they consider stronger. By closing some positions they are not as overwhelmed. My mentor always advised me that when I am overwhelmed in a downturn, look to selling naked calls but remembering that if the stock roars back up, which I don’t think BMY will do beyond $55 at most, be prepared to turn naked calls into covered calls. But then since I would want the stock to recover selling naked calls makes sense in a decline.
    My mentor’s focus was always on “is the trade still generating income?”. If it then it is still working as it should in my favor. He explained that there was “Very little difference between a dividend stock collapsing but still paying a dividend and a put option caught in the money but which can continue to be rolled for even a small profit”. Most of the time it comes down to the investor and how they “feel” about the position. I trade with little emotion as I have been through many downturns including a horrendous period from 1998 to 2004 when Coca Cola eventually lost more than half of its value.

    in reply to: BMY Repair #33598
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Actually upon reviewing my article I am not saying the capital needed by my broker. I am referencing the capital that is at risk is $0.00 until December options expiry. I think the change in my article to read: “Total income earned on this trade was $530 after commission. This reduced my loss to $1066.00 and reduces the capital at risk from 10 spreads at $3.50 = $3500.00 to 5 spreads at $0.00 until December 16 since the short and long puts are both at $40. I will add more long puts at some point between now and December 16 expiry to keep protecting my June position.” makes my intent clearer. Thanks for pointing it out.
    Teddi

    in reply to: BMY Repair #33595
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    No this is not considered by any broker as a legitimate spread. You could buy a further out long put which they will consider as a legitimate spread. I often to short-term long puts against further out naked puts because the cost to protect the trade is cheap as you saw in the article. But your broker will still want to see that you have enough capital or margin to cover the puts at $40. Once December comes and if I decided to buy a June $40 long put, then it will be deemed a spread by my broker and the capital/margin I will have to put up will be basically $o.
    However in my article I showed this as a zero need because I know I will buy protective puts along the way and eventually be out to June and beyond.
    Right now the $35 put strike for June is 60 cents. That’s not worth buying but in two weeks it may be back to 25 cents which will be worthwhile. I will change this in my article which should assist others better than my original sentence.

    in reply to: BMY Repair #33594
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    I will do up another article this evening after the close discussing moving from BMY to another stock like Merck to show the differences and how it can be approached. A lot comes down to comfort level. If this latest drop has you concerned then you need to reassess your trade methods. There is nothing wrong with setting up trades that if they fail, you immediately close, take a loss and move on.
    Back on July 28 I sold 10 naked puts at the $70 put strike for Aug 19 expiry 38 cents. The stock on Aug 5 collapsed and I sold the Aug 19 $67.50 and $62 put strikes but bought the Aug 19 expiry $50 put strike for protection. I have used the $50 to $49.00 put strikes ever since to keep protecting the trade and I am using all proceeds from the income earned to keep reducing the in the money naked puts which originally stretched from $70 to $62.50. These in the money naked puts are now down to $57.50 to $60.00. In my article on Aug 5 I wrote about selling naked calls which also work to increase income earned and allow me to reduce the number of in the money naked puts. This keeps freeing up more capital. Here is the link to the Aug 5 article https://www.fullyinformed.com/members/bristol-myers-squibb-stock-bmy-trading-the-plunge-trade-alert-and-updates-aug-5-2016/
    Here is the link to the Aug 8 article in which I sold the $56 puts for Aug 19 and stock as well as naked calls on Aug 9. https://www.fullyinformed.com/members/bristol-myers-squibb-stock-bmy-plunge-for-a-second-day-trade-alert-and-updates-aug-8-2016/
    The 10 naked puts earned $230.00 and the 10 naked calls earned $440.00. This total of $670.00 allowed me to close one in the money naked put. A repair of a collapse like BMY is experiencing will take time to recover but the goal should be to keep income flowing in and keep reducing the in the money naked puts. This protects the capital at risk.
    Teddi

    in reply to: BMY Repair #33589
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Swapping out over to Merck could work if Merck can gain enough ground to recover the losses from BMY. I am continuing my repair strategies with BMY instead but I do understand your thinking on Merck versus BMY. Perhaps splitting up your trade would be better or simply leaving BMY behind. I plan to continue with BMY but I am also selling puts in Merck. Here is the latest repair work in BMY https://www.fullyinformed.com/handling-todays-bristol-myers-squibb-stock-bmy-stock-collapse-trade-alert-as-repair-continues-oct-10-2016/

    in reply to: VISA Stock Trade Alert July 27 #33531
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    LOL. All I can say Amy is GRRRRR….. Congrats on a great trade.

    in reply to: VISA Stock Trade Alert July 27 #33530
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Some pages are missing as the site is being changed over. VISA has been in my portfolio since the IPO. It should be back up shortly.

    in reply to: Trade ahead of Sept Employment Numbers #33513
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    I have included the details on how to try to duplicate my trade at the bottom of the trade article. https://www.fullyinformed.com/members/preparing-for-the-september-employment-numbers-afternoon-trade-alert-for-oct-6-2016/

    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Thanks Larry… I got a lot of emails but luckily looking at the volume, no one entered the trade. A lot of smart investors out there who checked this one! Thanks for letting me know as well.

    in reply to: BNS Super Charged Buy/Write #33379
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Hi Larry;
    I got exercised on 1000 shares and not the remaining 500. I will be holding for now and will sell them as soon as I see a move back up in the stock and the calls have lost a bit of their premium.

    Teddi

    in reply to: Management of Nike Trade #33348
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Here’s more on handling the Nike Stock trade ahead of earnings for today Sep 29 https://www.fullyinformed.com/nike-stock-nke-decline-continues-trade-ahead-of-earnings-update-sep-29-2016/

    in reply to: COST #33347
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster
    in reply to: COST #33316
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Alvin
    If you have no interest in owning shares then the answer is always to roll lower. For an investor who is uncomfortable trading around earnings, even closing trades is better choice than worrying about what might happen.

    Teddi

    in reply to: Management of Nike Trade #33315
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    I replied this evening to your question on the comments with the article. Paper trading is definitely recommended for those who are trying to learn how to manage this type of trade. Never risk capital until the results in paper trading prove the strategy will work for you. Not every strategy will work for all investors. Some investors grasp the concepts of strategies quickly while others can take more time. That’s just the nature of investing but I recommend never using actual capital until a trade strategy has been learned and tested thoroughly through paper trading.

Viewing 25 posts - 2,401 through 2,425 (of 2,999 total)