FullyInformed.com

Bye Bye Santa – 9 Tips To Stay Profitable In 2015

Jan 11, 2015 | Profit And Income Strategies, Stock Market Outlook

There is a very old saying on wall street, “If Santa Claus should fail to call, bears may come to broad and wall”. Studying the Santa Claus rallies since 1969 stats show that in almost every case where there was not a “Santa Claus Rally”, the market in less than a year was entering a bear market.

The Santa Claus rally run for the last 5 days of December and the first 2 trading days of the new year are not at all encouraging.

In this article I review the 2014 Santa Claus Rally and then look at what “Santa” could be telling investors. We will then review some past failed Santa Claus rallies to see what can be learned from those failed rallies and the months that followed. Finally I review 9 tips I use to stay profitable in the face of what could be the start of the next bear market.

2014 Santa Claus Rally

The Santa Claus Rally in 2014 lost over 60 points on the S&P for a fall of 2.9%. This marks the first Santa Claus Rally that failed since 2007.

Santa Claus-rally-2014

2014 Santa Claus Rally

Open To All FullyInformed Members

This article is important as I believe it lays out the basis for investing in 2015 to stay profitable and avoid what could be large losses. As such it is open to all FullyInformed Members.

USA Members

FullyInformed USA Members can login through this link or  sign in to the full site here. Non-members can join the USA Members site here or read about the benefits of a membership.

Canada Members

FullyInformed Canada Members can login through this link.  or  sign in to the full Canada members site here. Non-members can join the Canada Members site here or read about the benefits of a membership.

Non

Stay FullyInformed With Email Updates

    Your First Name (required)

    Your Email (required)

    Anti-Spam: Please Answer This Math Question

    I will send you a reply to confirm that you want to subscribe before sending any emails.


    Market Direction Internal Links

    Profiting From Understanding Market Direction (Articles Index)

    How I Use Market Timing

    How I Use Market Timing

    Understanding Short-Term Signals

    Various Market Timing Systems

    Market Direction Portfolio Trades (Members)

    Market Direction External Links

    Market Direction

    IWM ETF Russell 2000 Fund Info

    Market Direction SPY ETF 500 Fund Info

    Search

    Select to view all results...

    Generic selectors
    Exact matches only
    Search in title
    Search in content
    Post Type Selectors

    Recent Outlooks

    Stock Market Outlook for Wed Apr 2 2025 – Tariffs Day – Still Bearish – Bounce Attempt Likely

    Prior Trading Day Summary: On Tue Apr 1 2025 stocks sold lower before finding some buyers. By the close the SPX and NASDAQ were back positive. The SPX closed up 21 points to 5633 on 4.5 billion shares traded. The …

    Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue Apr 1 2025

    For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue Apr 1 2025 review the afternoon rally from Monday. Stocks discussed for today include VIX ETF, TQQQ ETF, SQQQ ETF and more. The morning Investing Strategy Notes are for FullyInformed …

    Stock Market Outlook for Tue Apr 1 2025 – Nice Bounce But Still Bearish

    Prior Trading Day Summary: On Mon Mar 31 2025 stocks seemed headed for another low until buyers finally returned. The index bounced and the SPX closed up 31 points to 5612. Volume was good at 5.3 billion shares and by …

    Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Mon Mar 31 2025

    For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Mon Mar 31 2025 review the continuation of the sell-off. Stocks discussed for today include VIX ETF, TQQQ ETF, Lululemon Athletica Stock (LULU) and more. The morning Investing Strategy Notes are …

    Stock Market Outlook for Mon Mar 31 2025 – Bounce Attempt Likely But Still Bearish

    Prior Trading Day Summary: On Fri Mar 28 2025 stocks plunged lower without any large rally attempt. This lead to more selling which saw the index close near the day’s low. The SPX lost 112 points and ended the week …

    Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Fri Mar 28 2025

    For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Fri Mar 28 2025 review the state of the market. Stocks discussed for Thursday include VIX ETF, TQQQ ETF, Lululemon Athletica Stock (LULU) and more. The morning Investing Strategy Notes are …

    Stock Market Outlook for Fri Mar 28 2025 – Weakness Into The Weekend

    Prior Trading Day Summary: On Thursday stocks had big swings with the SPX falling as deep as 5670 and rallying to 5732 before closing at 5693 for a small loss of 19 points. The SPX is still up 25 points …

    Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Thu Mar 27 2025

    For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Thu Mar 27 2025 review the outlook for the rally as well as comments on the impact of the 25% auto tariffs announced on Wednesday. Stocks discussed for Thursday include VIX …

    Stock Market Outlook for Thu Mar 27 2025 – Bounce Attempt

    Prior Trading Day Summary: On Wednesday investors reacted to news of tariffs on automobiles entering the USA. There was also some profit-taking after 3 days of rallying. The S&P closed down 64 points to 5712 but on declining volume of …

    Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed Mar 26 2025

    For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed Mar 26 2025 review the outlook following a choppy day of trading on Tuesday, during which volumes to the downside were dominant. Stocks discussed for Wednesday include VIX ETF, Apple …

    Stock Market Outlook for Wed Mar 26 2025 – A Little Weakness But Still Higher

    Prior Trading Day Summary: On Tuesday stocks gave back some of the gains from Monday’s massive rally but there was still some strength but selling was more dominant. Investors still remain cautious of the move above the 200 day moving …

    Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue Mar 25 2025

    For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue Mar 25 2025 review the outlook for today following Monday’s large rally. Stocks discussed for Tuesday include VIX ETF, Apple Stock (AAPL), Dollar Tree Store (DLTR), Chewy Stock (CHWY) and …

    Stock Market Outlook for Tue Mar 25 2025 – MACD Up Signal Confirmed

    Prior Trading Day Summary: On Mon Mar 24 2025 stocks finally managed to push above the 200 day moving average and close above it. The rally was strong enough that the index closed above the rapidly falling 21 day as …

    Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Mon Mar 24 2025

    For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Mon Mar 24 2025 review the outlook for the start of the final week of March. Stocks discussed for Monday include VIX ETF and KB Home Stock (KBH). The morning Investing …

    Subscribe For The Latest News