June 22
2011 / Barrick Gold Corp- Stock Symbol ABX
Put Ladder On Barrick Gold Corp
Trying to rescue a trade while
waiting for a recovery in ABX
Barrick Gold
Corp Put Option Ladder
Recently I received this request from a reader
regarding Put Ladders. "I
read with great interest your article on
laddered puts and Microsoft. I was wondering if
it were possible for me to acquire a similar
strategy with my naked put investment in the
gold mining stock, Barrick Gold (ABX)?
In April, with ABX at $51.01, I sold 10 May 50
puts for 1.09. Being a perma-bull on gold and
the gold mining stocks, I watched in horror as
ABX shot down to 44 in a couple of weeks. By May
12, I had had enough, so I tried to move out in
time and reduce the number of contracts at the
same time. So I bought back the May 50 puts for
4.78 and sold the July 50 puts for 5.68.
Unfortunately, ABX continues to make new lows,
(now at 43 and change) so with 10 contracts, is
it possible to turn this investment into a put
ladder and reap the rewards in the future?
I cannot give out personal advice for obvious
reasons, I am not a financial
planner in any way, shape or form.
You can read about it here. But instead I
can give a hypothetical idea as if I was an
investor who had done the above. This is is no
way a financial recommendation or even financial
advice. This is simply my idea.
First though I have to say that gold is a commodity, not
a stock. Therefore if you like
gold and you are a gold perma-bull, gold stocks are not
the way to go. Gold stocks are mining stocks and in any
market correction they will decline as investors flee.
In a market crash they will collapse. They are stocks first
and gold miners second. However the gold ETF's like GLD
are based purely on the price of gold. There are also
ETF's that will give 2X the movement in Gold. Personally
if I was into Gold, I wouldn't buy anything but a straight
Gold ETF.
Now back to
the stock Barrick Gold Corp.
The above chart shows ABX for the past 3 years. Needless
to say it has not always followed the price of gold
which is evident from the chart.
In my example (as per above) I have sold 10 May 50 puts for 1.09 =
$1090.00 in income. Then I rolled from May $50 to July
$50 for an additional .90 or 900.00. To date then I have
earned $1990.00. Now though I am getting a little
worried. The stock is falling so what would I do in this
case? A put ladder would be a great idea.
First I go to the chart. I can see that there are three
distinct and repeated levels that Barrick Gold Corp has
visited a number of times over the past 3 years. The 1st
is at the $45 strike. That level has already been
compromised. The second is at $40 which is a very common
strike for ABX looking at the 3 years. The third is $34,
which the stock has not seen since the Spring of 2010.
The question to ask myself is, do I think Barrick Gold
Corp is a long term stock for me. I realize looking at
the chart that at $50,
it was the wrong put to sell. Just looking at the chart
I can tell I should have sold lower or even waited for
the stock to pull back and then sold and probably for
May the $45 level and then rolled lower.
Since I like ABX and look at it as a long term
investment, I don't yet want to be assigned at the
$50.00 strike. The better thing to do might be to try a
put ladder to reduce my cost basis in the stock.
To buy to close my 10 May puts will cost me
$6.90 each. I buy to close 10 contracts at $6.90 each. -
Total cost to close is $6900.00. However I have made
1990.00, so my net debit is reduced to $4910.00. What I
would like to do is reduce my loss and set myself up to
end up in ABX at a much better price point as I realize
now that $50.00 makes no sense. By going lower into the
stock I have a much better chance of reaping better
profits when the stock recovers.
Looking at the chart I can see that I want to be in the
stock below $45.00. Below $40.00 would be ideal as going
back 3 years $40.00 is a very common strike. This would
mean that if I could get into the stock at perhaps $38,
I could possibly sell covered calls at $40.00 and be
exercised out and then repeat the process.
PUT LADDER EXAMPLE 1
If I want to lower my costs basis and cover the
$4910.00, I could consider this put, out to January
2012.
2 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $49.00 at $7.95 = $1590.00
1 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $48.00 at $7.20 = $720.00
1 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $47.00 at $6.50 = $650.00
1 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $46.00 at $5.85 = $585.00
2 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $45.00 at $5.25 = $1050.00
3 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $40.00 at $2.77 = $831.00
TOTAL INCOME = $5426.00
Total capital required is assigned on all positions =
$44900 = $44.90 average cost of shares.
This puts me at the 1st level in my chart at $45.00.
While it is still above today's stock price it is $5.00
below my present strike and come January I can probably
roll out again and further down. Meanwhile though, I
have earned a profit with this put ladder.
PUT LADDER EXAMPLE 2
Another possible put ladder I could implement would
place me lower into the stock but would create a small
loss. This would be a trade off between a lower price
with more potential for a larger profit should the stock
climb higher and taking a small loss now.
2 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $48.00 at $7.20 = $1440.00
1 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $47.00 at $6.50 = $650.00
1 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $46.00 at $5.85 = $585.00
1 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $45.00 at $5.25 = $525.00
4 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $40.00 at $2.77 = $1108.00
1 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $39.00 at $2.05 = $205.00
TOTAL INCOME = $4513.00
Total capital required is assigned on all positions =
$43300.00 = $43.30 average cost of shares.
This puts me below the 1st level in my chart at $45.00
PUT LADDER EXAMPLE 3
A final put ladder example I could implement would place
me even lower into the stock but would create a larger
loss. Again this trade off is for a much lower price
with more potential for a even larger profit should the
stock climb higher and taking a small loss now.
1 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $48.00 at $7.20 = $720.00
1 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $47.00 at $6.50 = $650.00
1 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $46.00 at $5.85 = $585.00
1 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $45.00 at $5.25 = $525.00
3 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $40.00 at $2.77 = $831.00
2 PUTS SOLD JAN 2012 $39.00 at $2.05 = $410.00
TOTAL INCOME = $3721.00
Total capital required if assigned on all positions =
$38400.00 = $38.40 average cost of shares.
This puts me between the 2nd and 3rd level in my chart.
NOTE- THIS THIRD EXAMPLE USES JUST 9 PUTS RATHER 10
which frees up capital otherwise tied to the stock.
In any of the above trades, should an investor feel
pretty comfortable with adding more capital to the
trade, they could sell far out of the money strikes. For
example they could sell the January 2012 $33 for .77
cents or the Jan 2012 $30.00 for .41 cents. These
strikes are so far out of the money that an investor
might consider them as a means to generate additional
income and should Barrick Gold Corp collapse that low
they would be assigned at very low levels indeed. It all
comes down to comfort level and confidence in the stock
by an investor.
SUMMARY
Before January 2012 I could roll the put ladder again at
these same strikes. If I picked example 2 or 3 to do first,
then the subsequent roll should cover any of the loss I have
taken now and keep me well down in the stock. My preference
would be for example 3. I would prefer to set up the put
ladder now, take the loss of $1189.00 and then commence
earning income by rolling the put ladder. To make sure I am
not assigned early I would make sure to roll out the in the
money put strikes at least a month early. To decide which
example I would choose I pick the stock value level (as per
my chart above) and then calculate what puts I have to sell
in order to reach that level.
Creating a put ladder and calculating the levels to sell
is pretty simple when you look at a chart. Sometimes I can
use a 1 year chart and other times I need to go out further.
It can be applied to any stock. Here for example is a stock
I would never want to own or have a put ladder on - Bank Of
America. In order to set up levels I have to go back 3 years
to the crash of 2008 or 3 years.
For my fellow Canadians, another example
would be a favorite of mine, Bank Of Montreal Stock. This
chart is from the Toronto Stock Exchange.
Put ladders are an excellent strategy which
with each subsequent roll can create large gains to assist
in paying for the stock when finally assigned. I have used
put ladders for years and I have also rolled them for years
on stocks. The most important aspect of a put ladder is to
roll the in the money strikes early to avoid being assigned
too soon. The idea of the put ladder is to keep rolling the
ladder through up, down and sideways action in order to
gather income to eventually pay for the stock. I am always
excited when I finally earn enough income from my put
ladder, to accept stock and pay for it with other people's
money. Then I can reuse my capital and start all over again.
It is a wonderful feeling when a stock is paid for without
using my own capital.
My Kraft trade is
the perfect example. All the stock is paid for from the
money I earned through selling naked puts. While I realize
that most investors selling puts, do so to earn income
without any intention of wanting the stock, it is important
to understand that this is not my strategy. I plan to
eventually own the shares, collect the dividend and sell
calls under exercised out. Then I will start all over. If
your strategy is to never own shares, then it is important
to adjust any put strategy, including a put ladder, to
select strikes to sell that reflect the desire to not own
shares.